Dunedin vs Northern AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
94.4%
Win probability
3.88
Expected goals
10-0
0.3%
+10
0.3%
9-0
0.8%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.9%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
2.1%
7-0
3.8%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
<0%
+7
4.5%
6-0
6.8%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
8.3%
5-0
10.6%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
13.3%
4-0
13.7%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.9%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.5%
4.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
2%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
4.2%
1.1%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.1%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+647%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2020 |
MOS
5 - 1
DUN
19%
19%
63%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
DUN
0 - 9
QUE
90%
7%
3%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
OTU
2 - 0
DUN
16%
21%
64%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
NAF
94%
5%
1%
|
46 | 7 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
WNK
5 - 2
DUN
6%
11%
83%
|
49 | 18 | 31 | -3 |
Matches
Northern AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
1 - 5
WNK
5%
11%
85%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
NAF
1 - 2
GIA
5%
11%
85%
|
7 | 36 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2020 |
OTU
6 - 0
NAF
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
DUN
3 - 0
NAF
94%
5%
1%
|
7 | 46 | 39 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
NAF
0 - 3
CAV
4%
10%
87%
|
8 | 47 | 39 | -1 |