New Zealand National League South Round 6

Dunedin vs Northern AFC analysis

Dunedin Northern AFC
46 ELO 7
5% Tilt 6.2%
30428º General ELO ranking 13780º
75º Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
93.8%
Dunedin
4.8%
Draw
1.4%
Northern AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
93.6%
Win probability
Dunedin
3.77
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.7%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.6%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.9%
7-0
3.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
<0%
+7
4%
6-0
6.2%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.6%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.6%
4-0
13.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.5%
3-0
14%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.4%
4.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
4.8%
1.4%
Win probability
Northern AFC
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Dunedin
Northern AFC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dunedin
Dunedin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2020
WNK
Wanaka
5 - 2
Dunedin
DUN
6%
11%
83%
49 18 31 0
11 Jul. 2020
DUN
Dunedin
0 - 2
Green Island
GIA
83%
12%
5%
49 34 15 0
27 Jun. 2020
CAV
Caversham
0 - 0
Dunedin
DUN
51%
23%
26%
50 50 0 -1
20 Jun. 2020
DUN
Dunedin
2 - 0
Roslyn Wakari
ROW
89%
8%
3%
51 25 26 -1
01 Jun. 2019
DUN
Dunedin
1 - 4
Roslyn Wakari
ROW
81%
13%
7%
55 27 28 -4

Matches

Northern AFC
Northern AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jul. 2020
NAF
Northern AFC
0 - 3
Caversham
CAV
4%
10%
87%
8 47 39 0
11 Jul. 2020
ROW
Roslyn Wakari
5 - 2
Northern AFC
NAF
93%
5%
2%
8 22 14 0
04 Jul. 2020
NAF
Northern AFC
0 - 20
Mosgiel
MOS
4%
10%
85%
9 26 17 -1
27 Jun. 2020
QUE
Queenstown Rovers
12 - 0
Northern AFC
NAF
92%
6%
2%
9 25 16 0
11 May. 2019
QUE
Queenstown Rovers
3 - 2
Northern AFC
NAF
81%
12%
7%
10 29 19 -1