Dunedin vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
TCU
1 - 2
DUN
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
MET
3 - 1
DUN
34%
25%
40%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
DUN
1 - 1
FCN
52%
24%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
DUN
6 - 2
WAI
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +2 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
MAN
0 - 1
DUN
57%
22%
21%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2001 |
MIR
2 - 0
MAN
40%
25%
34%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
CHR
1 - 1
MIR
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
MIR
2 - 0
MET
55%
23%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2000 |
MTW
3 - 1
MIR
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2000 |
MIR
0 - 1
CEN
56%
23%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | -1 |