Dunedin vs Caversham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunedin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
NSH
1 - 2
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
2 - 3
NAP
25%
22%
53%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
DUN
1 - 0
MAN
32%
24%
45%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
MIR
3 - 0
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CEN
3 - 5
DUN
80%
13%
7%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Caversham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
CAV
0 - 2
MIR
19%
21%
60%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
EAU
0 - 1
CAV
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
TCU
0 - 1
CAV
59%
21%
20%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
3 - 0
CAN
26%
25%
49%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
CAV
0 - 2
NAP
19%
21%
61%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | -1 |