Scottish Premiership play-offs Semi-finals
Global 3-1
Dundee vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 3
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
QOS
0 - 2
DUN
36%
26%
38%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
RAI
42%
26%
32%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2021 |
ICT
1 - 1
DUN
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
DUN
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 3
DUN
49%
23%
28%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 0
DUN
50%
23%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
42%
24%
34%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 4
HOM
36%
27%
37%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
RAI
42%
26%
32%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |