SPL Round 8

Dundee vs Kilmarnock analysis

Dundee Kilmarnock
83 ELO 67
-12.7% Tilt -14.2%
671º General ELO ranking 528º
13º Country ELO ranking 10º
ELO win probability
81.3%
Dundee
12.4%
Draw
6.3%
Kilmarnock

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.3%
Win probability
Dundee
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6.3%
Win probability
Kilmarnock
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dundee
-10%
-2%
Kilmarnock

ELO progression

Dundee
Kilmarnock
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dundee
Dundee
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1912
DUN
Dundee
2 - 1
Rangers
GLA
46%
24%
30%
83 83 0 0
09 Mar. 1912
DUN
Dundee
0 - 2
Partick Thistle
PAR
72%
17%
12%
83 75 8 0
02 Mar. 1912
CEL
Celtic
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
52%
25%
23%
83 83 0 0
17 Feb. 1912
PAR
Partick Thistle
2 - 0
Dundee
DUN
38%
25%
37%
83 73 10 0
10 Feb. 1912
DUN
Dundee
2 - 2
Raith Rovers
RAI
83%
12%
6%
83 65 18 0

Matches

Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 1912
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Greenock Morton
GRE
55%
22%
23%
66 70 4 0
09 Mar. 1912
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 1
Motherwell
MHE
68%
18%
14%
66 65 1 0
02 Mar. 1912
PAR
Partick Thistle
3 - 1
Kilmarnock
KIL
73%
16%
11%
67 74 7 -1
03 Feb. 1912
QUE
Queen's Park
1 - 0
Kilmarnock
KIL
45%
24%
31%
68 58 10 -1
20 Jan. 1912
KIL
Kilmarnock
1 - 2
Hibernian FC
HIB
51%
23%
25%
69 75 6 -1