Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
EAS
2 - 5
DUN
26%
30%
45%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1971 |
DUN
4 - 2
AKA
86%
9%
5%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
DUN
6 - 4
DUN
54%
24%
23%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
ABE
3 - 0
DUN
51%
25%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
DUN
3 - 0
CLY
78%
13%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1971 |
HOM
2 - 1
STJ
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1971 |
DUN
1 - 4
HOM
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1971 |
HOM
0 - 2
HIB
44%
27%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1971 |
HOM
4 - 0
DUN
65%
19%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 1971 |
STJ
1 - 0
HOM
64%
20%
16%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |