Dundee vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dundee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
DUN
3 - 1
FAL
73%
16%
11%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1954 |
DUN
3 - 1
CEL
61%
20%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1954 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
17%
17%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
DUN
6 - 0
PAR
54%
22%
25%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1954 |
STM
3 - 0
DUN
39%
24%
38%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 1954 |
CEL
1 - 2
HOM
52%
21%
27%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1954 |
FAL
2 - 6
HOM
43%
22%
35%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 1954 |
HOM
3 - 1
DUN
66%
17%
17%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 1954 |
PAR
2 - 1
HOM
46%
22%
33%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1954 |
CLY
0 - 1
HOM
47%
22%
31%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |