Dunav Ruse vs Chernomorets Byala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunav Ruse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 4
DUN
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DUN
2 - 0
SIL
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
DUN
3 - 0
BOT
85%
11%
4%
|
46 | 9 | 37 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 3
DUN
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Byala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 1
KUB
74%
15%
10%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
CHE
58%
23%
20%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
CHE
0 - 0
DUN
24%
25%
51%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
BEN
2 - 1
CHE
55%
22%
24%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
CHE
7 - 1
VEL
70%
18%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |