Dunaharaszti MTK vs ESMTK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
73.5%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.8%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
4º
12º
7º
8
3º
15º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
10 | 63 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 61 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 60 |
3º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
8 | 60 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 51 |
5º
|
20.5% | |
|
3º
|
11 | 49 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
|
8º
|
8 | 40 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 36 |
8º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 36 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 34 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 34 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 33 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 29 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 25 |
16º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 15.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 84.5% |
|
Relegation
|
10% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunaharaszti MTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
BKV
2 - 1
DUN
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
SZO
2 - 1
DUN
28%
22%
50%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
1 - 0
HON
48%
23%
29%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
GYU
4 - 0
DUN
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
DUN
2 - 2
VSE
50%
22%
29%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
ESMTK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2025 |
ESM
2 - 0
BDP
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
BOR
0 - 8
ESM
7%
12%
81%
|
52 | 12 | 40 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
SCG
0 - 3
ESM
19%
22%
59%
|
51 | 29 | 22 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2025 |
ESM
0 - 1
DAB
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
CGF
2 - 0
ESM
19%
22%
59%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | -1 |