Dunărea Călăraşi vs Recolta Gheorghe Doja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
10º
3º
32
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 41 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
3º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 28 |
5º
|
56% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
56% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 25 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 1 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dunărea Călăraşi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
BOR
36%
22%
42%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
ACP
2 - 0
DUN
20%
21%
59%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FET
1 - 3
DUN
14%
19%
67%
|
36 | 15 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 1
GLO
61%
19%
20%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 0
DUN
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FET
0 - 2
RGD
12%
16%
72%
|
36 | 14 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
RGD
2 - 1
GLO
56%
20%
24%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
CSM
1 - 1
RGD
25%
21%
54%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
RGD
1 - 1
GLO
20%
23%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
IMO
3 - 0
RGD
35%
22%
43%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |