Dubra vs SD Negreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
65.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dubra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
DUB
0 - 0
RIB
48%
25%
28%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CDL
4 - 2
DUB
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
DUB
1 - 0
LEM
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
DUB
0 - 1
UPH
31%
25%
44%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
ATM
4 - 1
DUB
69%
18%
14%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
SD Negreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AES
2 - 4
NEG
15%
19%
67%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NEG
3 - 2
POL
55%
21%
23%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SAN
2 - 1
NEG
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
LEM
1 - 1
NEG
18%
21%
61%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
NEG
1 - 1
CLU
62%
20%
18%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |