Fortuna 05 vs Donaufeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2013 |
SCF
1 - 1
FOR
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 1
STA
17%
22%
60%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
FIR
3 - 1
FOR
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
SSH
1 - 2
FOR
84%
11%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FOR
1 - 0
ADM
25%
22%
53%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Donaufeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
DON
2 - 4
SCW
31%
24%
46%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
DON
1 - 2
DON
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2013 |
DON
1 - 0
POS
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
DON
4 - 0
GER
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
FAV
2 - 4
DON
34%
24%
42%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |