Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 2
SHE
27%
28%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DRO
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
0 - 0
STP
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
4 - 0
ATH
67%
19%
14%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLR
3 - 1
DRO
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
DUN
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
43%
27%
31%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
DER
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
WAT
46%
26%
29%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |