Drogheda United vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
48.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
9º
10º
9º
55
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 63 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 59 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drogheda United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DRO
2 - 2
SHE
25%
28%
47%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
0 - 0
DRO
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
0 - 0
STP
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2024 |
DRO
4 - 0
ATH
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
SLR
3 - 1
DRO
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
DER
4 - 1
DUN
49%
26%
25%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
SHE
0 - 0
DER
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
DER
0 - 1
GAL
44%
27%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
BOH
2 - 1
DER
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
DER
3 - 0
WAT
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |