Norwegian Fourth Division Group 6 Round 3

Drøbak / Frogn vs Stabæk II analysis

Drøbak / Frogn Stabæk II
19 ELO 36
29.8% Tilt 13.2%
11506º General ELO ranking 8307º
171º Country ELO ranking 114º
ELO win probability
9%
Drøbak / Frogn
13.1%
Draw
77.9%
Stabæk II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
Drøbak / Frogn
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.2%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
77.9%
Win probability
Stabæk II
2.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
16.8%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
10.9%
0-5
3.8%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
5.9%
0-6
1.9%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Drøbak / Frogn
+210%
-15%
Stabæk II

Points and table prediction

Drøbak / Frogn
Their league position
Stabæk II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
14º
25
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Kvik Halden
42
62
82.5%
Fram
36
58
82%
Ørn Horten
28
45
45.5%
Sarpsborg 08 II
26
42
23%
Oppsal
26
42
22%
Stabæk II
25
39
21.5%
SF Grei
26
37
22.5%
Lokomotiv Oslo
25
36
20%
Drøbak / Frogn
22
30
16.5%
Odd II
10º
19
29
10º
18%
IF Ready
12º
17
28
11º
26%
Flint
11º
17
25
12º
22%
Fredrikstad II
13º
16
24
13º
35.5%
Pors Grenland II
14º
11
18
14º
84.5%
Expected probabilities
Drøbak / Frogn
Stabæk II
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
81% 99.5%
Relegation
19% 0.5%

ELO progression

Drøbak / Frogn
Stabæk II
Ørn Horten
Fredrikstad II
IF Ready
SF Grei
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Drøbak / Frogn
Drøbak / Frogn
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Apr. 2025
SAR
Sarpsborg 08 II
5 - 1
Drøbak / Frogn
DRO
86%
9%
5%
16 35 19 0
29 Mar. 2025
DRO
Drøbak / Frogn
1 - 1
SF Grei
SGR
38%
22%
40%
16 21 5 0
10 Apr. 2024
DRO
Drøbak / Frogn
0 - 10
Fredrikstad
FFK
8%
15%
77%
16 69 53 0
24 May. 2023
DRO
Drøbak / Frogn
1 - 2
Moss
MOS
6%
12%
82%
16 56 40 0
26 Oct. 2019
IFR
IF Ready
1 - 0
Drøbak / Frogn
DRO
86%
10%
5%
16 32 16 0

Matches

Stabæk II
Stabæk II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 2025
STA
Stabæk II
3 - 2
Flint
IFL
66%
17%
17%
37 33 4 0
01 Apr. 2025
ORN
Ørn Horten
0 - 3
Stabæk II
STA
71%
17%
13%
34 49 15 +3
27 Oct. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
3 - 3
Strømsgodset II
STR
39%
20%
41%
34 37 3 0
20 Oct. 2024
ROS
Rosenborg II
1 - 0
Stabæk II
STA
29%
20%
51%
35 28 7 -1
05 Oct. 2024
STA
Stabæk II
0 - 3
Nardo
NAR
30%
23%
47%
37 46 9 -2