Dravograd vs Smartno 1928 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
36%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dravograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
DRA
1 - 4
CEL
22%
24%
54%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
NKD
3 - 1
DRA
50%
23%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
DRA
1 - 0
NKO
26%
23%
51%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LJU
2 - 1
DRA
57%
22%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
DRA
0 - 2
DOM
48%
24%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Smartno 1928
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2004 |
LJU
1 - 0
SMA
47%
24%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2004 |
SMA
1 - 1
DOM
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SMA
3 - 0
NKD
60%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
CEL
2 - 1
SMA
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2004 |
SMA
2 - 0
DRA
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |