Drancy vs Ivry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
3º
13º
3º
34
1º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 42 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 38 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
66% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
66% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
66% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
29% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 32 |
11º
|
31.5% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
53.5% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 28 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Drancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
DRA
1 - 1
ESA
35%
25%
40%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
VTR
1 - 1
DRA
37%
23%
40%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DRA
0 - 1
BRE
37%
26%
37%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LMR
2 - 0
DRA
17%
20%
63%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
DRA
3 - 0
AUB
27%
26%
47%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ivry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
MFC
1 - 1
IVR
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
IVR
4 - 1
BLA
49%
25%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
IVR
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
IVR
55%
23%
23%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
CRE
2 - 2
IVR
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |