Doze vs São Mateus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Doze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
VIT
2 - 0
DOZ
47%
24%
29%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
DOZ
58%
22%
20%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
2 - 2
ITA
23%
24%
53%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
DOZ
0 - 0
ESP
37%
25%
38%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
ESP
0 - 0
DOZ
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
São Mateus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
0 - 0
ITA
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 4
REA
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 3
DOZ
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
RIO
2 - 1
SAO
49%
25%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
SAO
1 - 2
ITA
45%
24%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |