Sul-Matogrossense 1st Stage Round 7

Dourados AC vs Naviraiense analysis

Dourados AC Naviraiense
49 ELO 46
-11.8% Tilt -19.3%
5406º General ELO ranking 5550º
179º Country ELO ranking 190º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Dourados AC
23.9%
Draw
38.1%
Naviraiense

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Dourados AC
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
38.1%
Win probability
Naviraiense
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dourados AC
+16%
-27%
Naviraiense

ELO progression

Dourados AC
Naviraiense
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dourados AC
Dourados AC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2025
COR
Corumbaense
0 - 1
Dourados AC
AOU
37%
25%
38%
47 43 4 0
05 Feb. 2025
AOU
Dourados AC
2 - 2
Coxim
COX
63%
20%
17%
47 29 18 0
02 Feb. 2025
IVI
Ivinhema
1 - 0
Dourados AC
AOU
37%
24%
39%
48 44 4 -1
29 Jan. 2025
AOU
Dourados AC
1 - 0
Operário MS
OPE
38%
24%
38%
48 48 0 0
26 Jan. 2025
AOU
Dourados AC
3 - 0
Águia Negra
AGU
47%
23%
30%
47 39 8 +1

Matches

Naviraiense
Naviraiense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2025
NAV
Naviraiense
1 - 1
Operário MS
OPE
43%
25%
32%
47 48 1 0
07 Feb. 2025
PMS
Portuguesa MS
3 - 0
Naviraiense
NAV
13%
17%
70%
49 28 21 -2
02 Feb. 2025
NAV
Naviraiense
4 - 1
Aquidauanense
AQU
55%
23%
22%
49 43 6 0
26 Jan. 2025
COS
Costa Rica
2 - 2
Naviraiense
NAV
47%
24%
29%
49 52 3 0
23 Jan. 2025
AGU
Águia Negra
3 - 2
Naviraiense
NAV
21%
22%
57%
50 37 13 -1