Dorense vs Boca Júnior FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
35.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SER
1 - 0
DOR
47%
23%
31%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
1 - 4
AFP
34%
23%
43%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ITA
1 - 0
DOR
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
DOR
0 - 0
LAG
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
DOR
3 - 2
LAG
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Boca Júnior FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 0
LAG
33%
26%
42%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
2 - 1
ITA
16%
24%
60%
|
29 | 48 | 19 | +4 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SER
1 - 1
BOC
63%
21%
16%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
BOC
1 - 3
AFP
24%
21%
55%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
LAG
3 - 0
BOC
53%
24%
22%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |