Dorćol vs Šumadija Jagnjilo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dorćol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TEL
1 - 0
DOR
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
DOR
0 - 1
LOB
37%
25%
38%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SRE
3 - 1
DOR
54%
24%
22%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
DOR
1 - 1
PAB
42%
26%
33%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
BEO
3 - 0
DOR
60%
22%
18%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Šumadija Jagnjilo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
SMJ
3 - 0
ZEL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
SOP
1 - 1
SMJ
35%
26%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SMJ
2 - 2
POS
73%
17%
10%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
RAD
2 - 1
SMJ
31%
27%
43%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
SMJ
0 - 0
BAS
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |