Dongen vs USV Hercules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
18%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
ACH
2 - 3
DON
11%
18%
71%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
DON
2 - 3
OJC
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HSC
0 - 2
DON
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
DON
1 - 2
DED
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DON
3 - 2
GRA
76%
15%
9%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
USV Hercules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BEQ
1 - 2
USV
48%
23%
28%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
HBS
4 - 2
USV
40%
24%
36%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
USV
2 - 1
JUL
63%
20%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
DED
3 - 1
USV
69%
18%
13%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
USV
1 - 4
WES
38%
25%
38%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |