Dongen vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
14.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dongen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
TST
1 - 0
DON
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 11 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
DON
0 - 2
OSS
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
DON
1 - 0
GVV
45%
24%
31%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
DON
1 - 1
RKV
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
VVR
4 - 2
DON
33%
25%
42%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
NUE
6 - 2
GEL
66%
19%
15%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
UNI
1 - 0
GEL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
0 - 1
INT
62%
21%
17%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
OSS
3 - 0
GEL
72%
17%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
GEL
1 - 0
TST
82%
12%
6%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |