Donegal Celtic vs Glenavon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Donegal Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
DUN
2 - 2
DON
56%
23%
21%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
DON
0 - 1
DER
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
DON
1 - 2
CAR
56%
22%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
COL
2 - 0
DON
75%
16%
10%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
CLI
2 - 3
DON
71%
18%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
5 - 2
LIS
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
LIN
0 - 0
GLE
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
GLE
78%
14%
8%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 3
GLE
27%
25%
49%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 64 | 13 | +1 |