Don Bosco vs Victory analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
DON
4 - 0
CAP
57%
26%
18%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
1 - 0
DON
38%
33%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
VIO
1 - 2
DON
51%
28%
21%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
0 - 1
DON
32%
35%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
DON
2 - 0
FIC
37%
29%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Victory
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ASM
3 - 0
VIC
25%
33%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 0
VIC
36%
32%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
VIC
4 - 0
CAP
55%
26%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 0
BAL
46%
29%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2012 |
FIC
3 - 2
VIC
55%
27%
18%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |