Don Bosco vs Árabe Unido analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.6%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Don Bosco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
DON
1 - 2
AIG
51%
26%
23%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
OUA
2 - 0
DON
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
DON
0 - 3
MON
11%
18%
71%
|
57 | 81 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
DON
0 - 2
FIC
46%
28%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
FIC
2 - 0
DON
57%
26%
17%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Árabe Unido
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
ARA
2 - 0
SMI
52%
26%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2016 |
MON
2 - 3
ARA
67%
20%
13%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
0 - 2
ARA
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
AMA
2 - 2
ARA
40%
30%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
ARA
1 - 1
CHO
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |