Dominica vs Martinique analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.2%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.5%
70.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dominica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2006 |
DMA
0 - 5
BRB
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
ATG
1 - 0
DMA
50%
23%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
GUY
3 - 0
DMA
45%
23%
32%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2005 |
GUY
3 - 0
DMA
36%
23%
42%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
DMA
0 - 4
GUF
69%
17%
14%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Martinique
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 2
CUB
21%
24%
56%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
CUB
2 - 0
MTQ
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 0
GLP
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
0 - 0
GUF
85%
11%
4%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
MTQ
5 - 1
DMA
69%
18%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |