Dock Sud vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 0
ITU
54%
25%
21%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
1 - 1
LUJ
50%
26%
24%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
DOC
3 - 1
ARM
42%
25%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
CAÑ
0 - 1
DOC
42%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
DOC
2 - 0
LAF
35%
26%
39%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
LAM
2 - 2
MER
42%
27%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ARM
1 - 3
MER
51%
25%
25%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
MER
1 - 1
LAF
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
LAM
0 - 0
MER
45%
26%
29%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
MER
0 - 1
RPI
33%
24%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |