Dock Sud vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dock Sud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
CAU
1 - 1
DOC
83%
13%
4%
|
37 | 79 | 42 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
LAF
1 - 1
DOC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
DOC
1 - 0
CCO
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
BER
2 - 3
DOC
53%
24%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2020 |
DOC
2 - 1
MID
49%
26%
25%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MER
2 - 1
LAM
49%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 3
MER
25%
25%
50%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
ALE
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ARM
1 - 2
MER
60%
23%
18%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2020 |
MER
1 - 1
ITA
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |