Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk vs Nomme Kalju analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
15.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dnipro Dnipropetrovsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
DNI
3 - 1
SHA
43%
24%
33%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 3
DNI
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
PSE
1 - 1
DNI
33%
26%
41%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
DNI
1 - 0
HOV
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
VOL
1 - 3
DNI
28%
26%
46%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nomme Kalju
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
SIK
1 - 1
KAL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
1 - 3
DNI
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
FLO
0 - 3
KAL
52%
23%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
KAL
3 - 1
TRA
79%
14%
7%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
VKP
6 - 2
KAL
68%
18%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |