Denmark Fourth Division Round 17

Djursland vs ASA Aarhus analysis

Djursland ASA Aarhus
16 ELO 24
10% Tilt 2.2%
22616º General ELO ranking 13316º
233º Country ELO ranking 172º
ELO win probability
23.9%
Djursland
20.2%
Draw
55.9%
ASA Aarhus

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.9%
Win probability
Djursland
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
55.9%
Win probability
ASA Aarhus
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Djursland
Their league position
ASA Aarhus
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
10º
10º
17
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
45
45
100%
Odder
40
40
100%
Aalborg BK II
36
36
100%
Viby
30
30
100%
Aarhus Fremad II
28
28
100%
Nörresundby FB
21
21
100%
VRI
18
18
100%
ASA Aarhus
17
17
100%
Kjellerup
12
12
100%
Djursland
10º
5
5
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Djursland
ASA Aarhus
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Djursland
ASA Aarhus
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Djursland
Djursland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
DJU
Djursland
2 - 5
Viby
VIB
9%
14%
77%
18 38 20 0
05 Nov. 2022
NOR
Nörresundby FB
2 - 0
Djursland
DJU
75%
15%
10%
18 26 8 0
28 Oct. 2022
DJU
Djursland
0 - 1
Aalborg BK II
AAB
12%
18%
71%
18 38 20 0
22 Oct. 2022
VRI
VRI
3 - 2
Djursland
DJU
72%
17%
11%
19 28 9 -1
15 Oct. 2022
DJU
Djursland
1 - 4
Vejgaard
VEJ
13%
18%
69%
20 39 19 -1

Matches

ASA Aarhus
ASA Aarhus
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Nov. 2022
VEJ
Vejgaard
4 - 2
ASA Aarhus
ASA
84%
11%
6%
23 41 18 0
05 Nov. 2022
ASA
ASA Aarhus
3 - 4
Viby
VIB
16%
18%
66%
24 37 13 -1
28 Oct. 2022
KJE
Kjellerup
5 - 1
ASA Aarhus
ASA
42%
21%
37%
25 21 4 -1
22 Oct. 2022
ASA
ASA Aarhus
3 - 3
Nörresundby FB
NOR
46%
22%
33%
25 25 0 0
15 Oct. 2022
AAR
Aarhus Fremad II
1 - 1
ASA Aarhus
ASA
76%
14%
10%
25 36 11 0