Dixie State vs Utah Valley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
59.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dixie State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 0
RGV
7%
13%
80%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NLV
2 - 0
DXS
84%
10%
5%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2021 |
DXS
1 - 5
GCU
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 38 | 23 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
HBH
1 - 2
DXS
33%
22%
45%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
DXS
0 - 5
CBL
11%
16%
73%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Utah Valley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
CBL
4 - 1
UVL
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
UVL
2 - 1
HBH
89%
8%
3%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
SJS
3 - 2
UVL
69%
17%
14%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
UVL
0 - 1
NLV
64%
18%
18%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2021 |
RGV
3 - 1
UVL
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | 0 |