Second Division Temporada Regular round 2

Dingli Swallows vs Rabat Ajax analysis

Dingli Swallows Rabat Ajax
25 ELO 40
2.8% Tilt -3.5%
18027º General ELO ranking 8254º
55º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
22.4%
Dingli Swallows
22.5%
Draw
55.1%
Rabat Ajax

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.4%
Win probability
Dingli Swallows
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.1%
Win probability
Rabat Ajax
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dingli Swallows
-36%
-72%
Rabat Ajax

Points and table prediction

Dingli Swallows
Their league position
Rabat Ajax
CURR.POS.
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
19º
19º
31
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Senglea Athletic
53
53
100%
Mgarr United FC
50
50
100%
Zabbar St. Patrick
48
48
100%
Msida St Joseph
43
43
100%
Kalkara
36
36
100%
Luqa St. Andrew's
33
33
100%
Xghajra Tornados
32
32
100%
Gharghur
31
31
0%
Rabat Ajax
31
31
0%
Kirkop United
10º
29
29
10º
0%
St. Georges FC
11º
29
29
11º
0%
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
12º
28
28
12º
100%
Ghaxaq
13º
25
25
13º
100%
Qormi FC
14º
22
22
14º
100%
Pembroke Athleta
15º
21
21
15º
100%
Mellieha
16º
16
16
16º
100%
St. Venera
17º
14
14
17º
100%
Siggiewi
18º
12
12
18º
100%
Dingli Swallows
19º
9
9
19º
100%
Mdina Knights
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Ta' Xbiex
21º
1
1
21º
100%
Expected probabilities
Dingli Swallows
Rabat Ajax
Promotion
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%

ELO progression

Dingli Swallows
Rabat Ajax
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dingli Swallows
Dingli Swallows
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Aug. 2022
GHA
Ghaxaq
1 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
45%
22%
33%
26 26 0 0
20 Mar. 2022
GHA
Ghaxaq
5 - 1
Dingli Swallows
DIN
34%
23%
44%
28 24 4 -2
12 Mar. 2022
DIN
Dingli Swallows
2 - 2
Gharghur
GHA
22%
22%
56%
27 40 13 +1
06 Mar. 2022
BIR
Birzebbuga St. Peters FC
1 - 0
Dingli Swallows
DIN
70%
17%
13%
28 39 11 -1
25 Feb. 2022
DIN
Dingli Swallows
4 - 5
Siggiewi
SIG
44%
24%
32%
29 33 4 -1

Matches

Rabat Ajax
Rabat Ajax
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Aug. 2022
RAB
Rabat Ajax
3 - 0
Mdina Knights
MDI
80%
12%
8%
39 26 13 0
09 Apr. 2022
RAB
Rabat Ajax
1 - 2
Melita
MEL
18%
22%
60%
39 53 14 0
04 Apr. 2022
VIT
Vittoriosa Stars
3 - 2
Rabat Ajax
RAB
46%
23%
31%
40 37 3 -1
13 Mar. 2022
RAB
Rabat Ajax
0 - 2
Naxxar Lions FC
NAX
18%
22%
60%
41 54 13 -1
06 Mar. 2022
SAN
San Gwann
3 - 1
Rabat Ajax
RAB
70%
19%
11%
42 53 11 -1