UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Dinamo Zagreb vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
18.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
IST
0 - 1
DZG
16%
25%
59%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SHF
0 - 1
DZG
40%
26%
35%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
2 - 1
HNK
72%
19%
10%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
3 - 2
LUD
56%
23%
22%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
DZG
1 - 1
INT
75%
17%
8%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 0
ISK
70%
20%
11%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
SHF
0 - 1
DZG
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 0
MIL
65%
21%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
SHF
1 - 0
ULI
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2012 |
FCA
1 - 4
SHF
18%
26%
56%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |