Europa League Knock-out stages Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Dynamo Kyiv vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dynamo Kyiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
DYN
1 - 0
FCM
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
KRY
2 - 1
DYN
17%
23%
60%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
DYN
3 - 0
PSG
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
DYN
3 - 1
CHO
78%
14%
7%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
PSG
0 - 0
DYN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
1 - 0
CHO
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
MED
1 - 2
SHA
32%
27%
41%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SHA
59%
22%
18%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
3 - 0
ARS
74%
17%
9%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
SHA
2 - 0
MAR
45%
26%
29%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |