European U21 Championship qualifying Final
Dinamarca U21 vs Croacia U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
24.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dinamarca U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 2
TUR
76%
15%
9%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
SCO
82%
12%
6%
|
74 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
DEN
3 - 0
KAZ
90%
7%
2%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
DEN
1 - 1
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croacia U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 1
DEN
44%
25%
32%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2022 |
EST
0 - 4
CRO
4%
12%
85%
|
70 | 30 | 40 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
NOR
3 - 2
CRO
27%
23%
50%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
CRO
2 - 3
FIN
82%
13%
6%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
CRO
0 - 0
AUT
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |