European U21 Championship qualifying Round 16

Dinamarca U21 vs Bulgaria U21 analysis

Dinamarca U21 Bulgaria U21
67 ELO 56
25% Tilt -2.9%
1365º General ELO ranking 3992º
20º Country ELO ranking 30º
ELO win probability
73.2%
Dinamarca U21
16.3%
Draw
10.5%
Bulgaria U21

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
Dinamarca U21
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
Bulgaria U21
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Dinamarca U21
-8%
-14%
Bulgaria U21

ELO progression

Dinamarca U21
Bulgaria U21
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Dinamarca U21
Dinamarca U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2014
DEN
Dinamarca U21
4 - 2
Rusia U21
RUS
38%
24%
39%
66 74 8 0
22 May. 2014
DEN
Dinamarca U21
0 - 2
Suiza U21
SUI
47%
23%
30%
66 71 5 0
05 Mar. 2014
DEN
Dinamarca U21
8 - 0
Estonia U21
EST
82%
12%
6%
66 42 24 0
19 Nov. 2013
AND
Andorra U21
0 - 2
Dinamarca U21
DEN
12%
19%
69%
67 38 29 -1
15 Nov. 2013
BGR
Bulgaria U21
2 - 3
Dinamarca U21
DEN
29%
26%
45%
66 58 8 +1

Matches

Bulgaria U21
Bulgaria U21
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2014
EST
Estonia U21
2 - 2
Bulgaria U21
BGR
20%
24%
57%
57 41 16 0
19 Nov. 2013
BGR
Bulgaria U21
1 - 5
Eslovenia U21
SVN
43%
27%
30%
58 60 2 -1
15 Nov. 2013
BGR
Bulgaria U21
2 - 3
Dinamarca U21
DEN
29%
26%
45%
58 66 8 0
15 Oct. 2013
SVN
Eslovenia U21
2 - 1
Bulgaria U21
BGR
47%
25%
28%
59 60 1 -1
11 Oct. 2013
BGR
Bulgaria U21
3 - 3
Rusia U21
RUS
19%
23%
59%
58 75 17 +1