Dijon FCO vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
36.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dijon FCO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ETG
0 - 1
DIJ
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
DIJ
2 - 0
LOR
26%
26%
49%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
TFC
2 - 0
DIJ
55%
27%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
DIJ
1 - 5
REN
30%
27%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
ANG
1 - 0
DIJ
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 2
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2011 |
PSG
2 - 1
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 0
BRE
59%
25%
16%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
VAL
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2011 |
VAL
0 - 1
BVB
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |