Differdange 03 vs Swift Hesperange analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
44.2%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
KAE
0 - 8
DIF
13%
20%
67%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DIF
0 - 4
F91
33%
24%
43%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 0
DIF
61%
20%
18%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
DIF
2 - 1
USM
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
DIF
2 - 0
MON
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 1
MON
83%
12%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
USM
0 - 4
SWI
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
4 - 0
DIF
61%
20%
18%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
FOL
0 - 1
SWI
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 2
ETZ
85%
10%
4%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | -1 |