Moroccan Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-2
Difaâ El Jadida vs Chabab Rif Hoceima analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.7%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Difaâ El Jadida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
DIF
36%
28%
36%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
DIF
3 - 1
ROZ
61%
24%
15%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
IRT
1 - 1
DIF
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
DIF
0 - 0
IRT
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DIF
0 - 0
CHA
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chabab Rif Hoceima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 1
DIF
36%
28%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 0
CHA
37%
31%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASS
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
OLY
2 - 1
CHA
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
ASS
0 - 2
CHA
23%
23%
54%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +2 |