Devonport City vs South Hobart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
44.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Devonport City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 2
DEV
17%
20%
64%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
DEV
9 - 0
LAU
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 4
DEV
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
DEV
1 - 1
HOB
51%
22%
28%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
KIN
5 - 4
DEV
14%
19%
66%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | -2 |
Matches
South Hobart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
SOU
7 - 0
KIN
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
SOU
14%
18%
68%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
HOB
2 - 2
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 0
GLE
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 20 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
9 - 0
LAU
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 9 | 35 | 0 |