Deveronvale vs Gretna 2008 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.5%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
53.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deveronvale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
DEV
1 - 2
BRO
5%
12%
83%
|
26 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
INV
2 - 0
DEV
85%
10%
4%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 2
HUN
59%
21%
20%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
LOS
0 - 2
DEV
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
DEV
0 - 1
TUR
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Gretna 2008
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 3
STI
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
SPA
4 - 1
GRE
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 3
BSC
54%
23%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2016 |
GRE
1 - 5
EAS
30%
24%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
AFC
3 - 4
GRE
44%
25%
30%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +1 |