Deusto vs Ortuella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.1%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
20.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
BER
5 - 2
DEU
53%
24%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
DEU
1 - 0
GAT
45%
26%
30%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GAL
1 - 0
DEU
37%
26%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
DEU
1 - 0
BFC
40%
25%
35%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
CDG
3 - 0
DEU
57%
23%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Ortuella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2010 |
ORT
0 - 3
JUV
28%
26%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
ORT
0 - 2
BER
38%
27%
35%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
GAT
3 - 0
ORT
46%
25%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ORT
0 - 0
GAL
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BFC
1 - 0
ORT
53%
24%
24%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |