Deusto vs Derio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Deusto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
SDU
2 - 1
DEU
29%
26%
46%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DEU
0 - 0
ZET
66%
19%
14%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
CLU
2 - 0
DEU
55%
23%
22%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 0
CDS
36%
25%
39%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 0
DEU
47%
25%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Derio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
DER
0 - 1
ORT
63%
20%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BER
0 - 0
DER
38%
25%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
DER
2 - 1
GAT
40%
26%
34%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
GAL
2 - 3
DER
28%
25%
46%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
DER
0 - 2
BFC
33%
25%
42%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | -1 |