Detonit Plachkovica vs Vardarski analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.2%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+70%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
5º
16º
5º
11
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 35 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Detonit Plachkovica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SAS
0 - 2
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
2 - 4
NOV
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DEP
0 - 0
BEL
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
FKB
2 - 2
DEP
19%
19%
62%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
DEP
14%
18%
68%
|
45 | 14 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Vardarski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
KGE
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FKS
2 - 2
VAR
80%
13%
7%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
VAR
2 - 1
OSO
15%
18%
68%
|
14 | 36 | 22 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 0
FKS
16%
19%
66%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
VAR
1 - 3
DEP
14%
18%
68%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | -1 |