Desna Chernihiv vs Hirnyk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
25.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Desna Chernihiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
DES
1 - 0
ZIR
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
NYV
2 - 0
DES
21%
27%
52%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
DES
1 - 1
VOR
24%
28%
48%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
DES
0 - 1
HEL
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
POL
0 - 1
DES
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Hirnyk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
TER
51%
26%
24%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
SUM
2 - 2
BAR
37%
29%
34%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
CHD
36%
29%
35%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
3 - 0
ILL
29%
26%
46%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | +2 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
OBO
35%
28%
37%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |