DESK vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
DIJ
0 - 2
DES
60%
21%
19%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2009 |
DES
2 - 1
JVC
41%
23%
36%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
DES
1 - 6
BAR
34%
25%
41%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | -2 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DEU
1 - 0
DES
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
GEM
5 - 0
DES
62%
21%
18%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 0
SCH
44%
24%
32%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2009 |
VEN
2 - 4
UNA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PAP
1 - 0
VEN
54%
23%
24%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
DEU
2 - 1
VEN
51%
24%
25%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 0
MEE
43%
24%
33%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | +2 |