DESK vs OSS '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
UDI
0 - 1
DES
61%
21%
19%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DES
0 - 4
GEM
28%
24%
48%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
DES
3 - 1
OJC
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
DES
1 - 6
UNA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
VEN
0 - 0
DES
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
OSS '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
OSS
1 - 0
UNA
50%
23%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VEN
3 - 3
OSS
43%
24%
34%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
OSS
1 - 3
MEE
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
PAP
2 - 1
OSS
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
OSS
0 - 1
BAR
42%
26%
33%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |