DESK vs EFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
32.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
DESK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
NEM
0 - 0
DES
53%
22%
25%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
DES
0 - 6
HAL
26%
23%
51%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
DEV
2 - 1
DES
65%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
DES
0 - 0
GEL
45%
23%
32%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
DES
2 - 1
JEK
56%
21%
23%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
EFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
VLI
3 - 1
EFC
62%
20%
19%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
RKV
3 - 0
EFC
40%
23%
36%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
GEL
5 - 0
EFC
41%
23%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
EFC
2 - 1
LON
58%
21%
21%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
IFC
3 - 3
EFC
35%
24%
42%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |