Des Moines United vs Duluth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
59.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1099%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Des Moines United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DMU
2 - 0
MIT
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
KCS
1 - 5
DMU
49%
21%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2024 |
WIS
1 - 4
DMU
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
DMU
2 - 1
GIO
70%
16%
14%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
KCS
3 - 2
DMU
46%
21%
33%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Duluth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
DAK
0 - 1
DUL
45%
21%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
DUL
2 - 0
MIN
75%
14%
11%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
SIO
3 - 2
DUL
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 16 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 Jun. 2024 |
DUL
10 - 0
MIB
90%
7%
3%
|
38 | 7 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
JOY
4 - 2
DUL
16%
18%
67%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | -2 |